Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Week 5 Update 2.....DGL sold

DGL was stopped out for a profit of 18% or about $500.

DBA has a loss of -5.88%
DBO has a gain of +2.02
HB has loss of -42.19% (Be patient)


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Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Week 5 Update 1

I suffered some losses today about $1,000 worth of losses, but you have to be patient and stick it out.

DBA -8.82%
DBO .9%
DGL -10.23%
HB -20.31%

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Monday, January 28, 2008

Trades Week 5

Market order for all with a stoplimit of +20%.

should come out to be about $3000 each except for HB ($1000). Also BWV sold for a total loss of 7%(????????huh??????) I'll analyze the trade tomorrow and put up more pics from the porfolio


Buy +14
PowerShares DB Oil (DBO) MARCH 08 33 Call

Buy +14
PowerShares DB Gold (DGL) MARCH 08 34 Call

Buy +12
PowerShares DB Agriculture (DBA) MARCH 08 36 Call

Buy +19
Hillenbrand Industries Inc. (HB) FEB 08 50 Put

All orders will have a stoplimit of +20%

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Sunday, January 27, 2008

Week 5 trades

The trades for week 5 have been placed in the Order Queue, since I have to wait to sell BWV. The trades should be executed around 2:40pm eastern time. Notice that these are mostly March calls, because I am willing to sit out any losses. The trades are worth about $3000 each, except for HB ($1000)


Buy +13
PowerShares DB Oil (DBO) MARCH 08 33 Call

Buy +16
PowerShares DB Gold (DGL) MARCH 08 34 Call

Buy +13
PowerShares DB Agriculture (DBA) MARCH 08 36 Call

Buy +17
Hillenbrand Industries Inc. (HB) FEB 08 50 Put

All orders will have a stoplimit of +20%

Saturday, January 26, 2008

Sector Analysis Week More Sectors maybe added
Bearish:

Drug Stores
Diagnostic Substances
Telecom Services Domestic
Personal Computers
Multimedia Graphics SFTWR
Drug Related Products
Drug Manufacturers Major
Medical Instruments
Long Distance carriers
Specialized Health Srvcs
Diversified Utilities

Bullish:
(Im bullish basically on most commodity funds)

Note: Im not buying all of these

DBC
DBE
DBO
DBP
DGL
DBS
DBB
DBA
MOO

Selling BWV @ Mrkt Monday

Placed a market sell order for BWV Monday

I didnt do too bad, but really I wanted to use it as a learning experience, I myself wanted to see If it operated the way I thought it should.

Loss of 1.07% ($192.79)

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My total portfolio value is $18,519.294

Wednesday, January 23, 2008

Instant Alert only .99 cents

Alright as you all may know my portfolio is completely transparent you see my actual portfolio, my gains and my losses, not just only text. Now since I use this method it takes a while post my trades on my blog (hours sometimes days on the weekends) and I have been getting alot of emails telling me to post my picks for the next week, Friday night or Saturday that would take soooooooo much time and I would have to rush, so for those people who would like instant notification of my trades I got something for you.

For .99cents I will send a personal email notifying you of my trades within seconds.
I put it at such a low price so that it would be available to everyone.










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Week 4 More Trading Fully Invested Again!

I bought 381 shares of BWV totaling 17,971.77 + Commissions.

BWV is an ETN (Exchange Traded Note) that acts as a covered call on the S&P 500 (thats the basics). So when the S&P 500 goes down in price or trades neutral BWV generates a gain. Pretty cool product!

I'll probably have this position for 2 days Thursday and Friday.

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Tuesday, January 22, 2008

$pectacular Trading Day 87% 1 month Week 4 update 1

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Wow the trading day was good to me, my gut feeling to add more picks paid off, the early drop made most of my picks profitable.
DXD Calls were up 58%, the SDS calls were up 104% well over the target of 20%. The stoplimit of +%20 is the reason why I have such big gains, because I probably would have waited to sell and would have lost nearly all of my profit. SKF calls were up 27% in the morning the stoplimit sold them, then the SKF went into negative territory, down 5.99% as I speak. I only had 2 negative trades KFT and PG. So the trades were:
SYM-----------Buy----Sell--Gain
DXD-----------1.70---2.70 +58%
PG------------6.60---4.80 -27%
TWM(Mrk&Lmt)--6.25---8.95 +43%
TYC-----------1.88---2.30 +22%
SKF-----------13.40--17.00 +27%
SCG-----------1.50---3.10 +106%
KFT-----------1.78---1.15 -35%
SDS-----------4.05---8.35 +104%



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Monday, January 21, 2008

Week 4 Add on Trades Fully INVESTED

I Just had to do this!

TradeKing.com BlueShine Button 2 120x60

DXD +13 FEB 08 65 Calls Mkt
SDS +5 FEB 08 65 Calls Mkt
TWM +3 FEB 08 90 Calls Limit (forgot to change to market order and I couldn't cancel it) and TWM +3 FEB 08 90 Calls Mkt (TWM better go up)
SKF +1 FEB 08 125 Call Mkt
*All have stops that get triggered when the option price is up 20%.
I Canceled the RUT iron condor

I Canceled the RUT iron condor

I Canceled the RUT iron condor

I Canceled the RUT iron condor

I Canceled the RUT iron condor


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More Picks Coming for week 4

More picks will be added for the week 4 trades

Sunday, January 20, 2008

Week 4 Trades AGGRESSIVE!!!!!

So for Week 4 I decided to have 5 picks each around about $1,000 in value, except for RUT ($3,000). The trades were basically buying puts, with the exception of selling one IRON CONDOR. This week there will be alot of major earnings reports, and I believe most of those reports will be bearish. My trades are:
Tyco International Ltd. (TYC) +5 Feb08 35 Puts
Kraft Foods Inc. (KFT) +11 Feb08 30 Puts
Procter & Gamble Co. (PG) +4 Feb08 70 Puts
SCANA Corp. (SCG) +6 Feb08 40 Puts
RUSSELL 2000 INDEX (RUT) -4 Feb08 740, +4 Feb08 750, -4 Feb08 600, +4 Feb08 590 (IRON CONDOR)

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SYM QTY Mon Yr Stk Typ
TYC--+5-Feb-08-35-Puts
PG---+4-Feb-08-70-Puts
KFT-+11-Feb-08-30-Puts
SCG--+6-Feb-08-40-Puts
RUT-Iron Condonr



Position Statement

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TYC +5 Feb 08 35 Puts

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PG +4 Feb 08 70 Puts

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KFT +11 Feb 08 30 Puts

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SCG +6 Feb 08 40 Puts

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Order Descriptions

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Saturday, January 19, 2008

Sector Analysis for Week 4

All industries are bearish:

Personal Services

Semiconductor-Integrated Circ
Networking and communication Dvcs
Diversified Communication Svcs
Security Protection Svcs
Multimedia Graphics Software
Information Technology Svcs
CATV Systems
Personal Products
Computer Peripherals
Food-Major Diversified
Sporting Goods
Machine Tools and Accessories
Communication Equipment

Earnings Reports Week 4

Bank of America Corporation
Apple Inc.
MBT Financial Corp.
Palm Harbor Homes
Precision Castparts
Wachovia Corporation
UnitedHealth Group Inc.
Norfolk Southern Corp
Jacobs Engineering Group Inc.
Johnson & Johnson
AK Steel Holding Corp
Coach, Inc.
ConocoPhillips
eBay
Delta Air Lines, Inc
Knight Transportation
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold
Netflix
Pfizer
QUALCOMM Inc.
Southwest Airlines
St. Jude Medical, Inc.
SunTrust
Gilead Sciences
Allegheny Technologies
AT&T
E*TRADE Financial Corp.
Juniper Networks
Microsoft
Nokia
US Airways
Caterpillar Inc.


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Week 4 My Rules

No picks yet but they're coming

I probably not going to be fully invested

and Im going to try to have some neutral spreads

Sector analysis will be out shortly

But my rules for trading this market are

1. Stay away from buying or shorting any financial stock or sector

2. Dont Get GREEDY

3. Be Pateint

4.Anticipate any big news coming out (earnings or economic news) as being bad

5. Be prepared for bullish rallies


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Thursday, January 17, 2008

Great Day on Wall Street Week 3 Update 3

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Today was a great day of trading for me, all of my positions are exited and the total portfolio is up 38% in the first month of trading. The total portfolio is worth $13,801 as of today. I did take a small loss I sold the BBY puts for a loss of about 1%, but the other trades were great. That patience I had paid off today!



Sold MMM Feb 2008 80 Puts today for a gain of 20%
Sold MSTR Feb 2008 75 Puts today for a gain of 40%
Sold BBY Feb 2008 45 Puts today for a loss of about 1%
Sold NICE Feb 2008 30 Puts yesterday for a gain of 17%

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Wednesday, January 16, 2008

The (NICE) Trade

Trade History

Bought Nice 30 Put @ 1.83
Sold @ 2.15
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Week 3 Update 2 Be Patient!

Position Statement
BBY -25%
MMM 5%
MSTR -4.38%

Im down a total of -7.96% but you have to be patient. I have plenty of time because I bought the February puts instead of the January puts.

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Projection Chart (send a comment if you dont know how to use)
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Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Week 3 Update 1

1 position exited (Nice) @ +17% (Bad fill)

Remaining positions
BBY -4.17% ($50)
MMM +3.75 +$45
MSTR -2.19 (30)


Total portfolio value
$13,031.40


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Sunday, January 13, 2008

Week 3 Trades Big Week Lots of News (Risky)

This week I’m not fully invested, I’m not even invested with half the capital. I have about $4,000 invested, 4 picks each about $1,000 each. I have only 4 picks because I should be able to get out of them relatively quickly and then have more capital to speculate with, on the earnings and major economic news coming out this week. All the picks have a stop of 20% marked to the option (so when the value of the option goes 20% or above the position is automatically sold).

My trades for week 3 are:

BBY/Electronics stores
Feb 45 Put/BBYNI
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MMM/Conglomerates
Feb 80 Put/MMMNP
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MSTR/Business software and svcs
Feb 75 Put/EOUNO
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NICE/Computer peripherals
Feb 30 Put/EQJNF
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Economic Calendar:
Jan 15 8:30 AM Retail Sales
Jan 15 8:30 AM Retail Sales ex-auto
Jan 15 8:30 AM PPI
Jan 15 8:30 AM Core PPI
Jan 15 8:30 AM NY Empire State Index
Jan 15 10:00 AM Business Inventories
Jan 16 8:30 AM CPI
Jan 16 8:30 AM Core CPI
Jan 16 9:00 AM Net Foreign Purchases
Jan 16 9:15 AM Industrial Production
Jan 16 9:15 AM Capacity Utilization
Jan 16 2:00 PM Fed's Beige Book
Jan 17 8:30 AM Housing Starts
Jan 17 8:30 AM Building Permits
Jan 17 8:30 AM Initial Claims
Jan 17 10:30 AM Crude Inventories
Jan 17 12:00 PM Philadelphia Fed
Jan 18 10:00 AM Leading Indicators
Jan 18 10:00 AM Mich Sentiment-Prel.

Major Earnings:

General Electric
Schlumberger
Genentech, Inc.
Citigroup Inc.
U.S. Bancorp
J.P. Morgan Chase & Co
Wells Fargo & Company
Logitech International
BB&T Corporation
BlackRock, Inc.
Continental Airlines
Washington Mutual
Merrill Lynch

Saturday, January 12, 2008

Week 3 Sector selection

These are the sectors that my trades should come out of, most are bearish sectors, some bullish.

I’ve positioned the sector selection so that these sectors should go down even in a volatile market and maybe even If the market is up all week.

-ELS - ELECTRONICS STORES (SECTOR)
-ITS - INFORMATION TECHNLGY SVCS (SECTOR)
-CPER - COMPUTER PERIPHERALS (SECTOR)
-PES - PHOTOGRAPHIC EQUIP SUPLS (SECTOR)
-CMOH - CATALOG MAIL ORDER HOUSES (SECTOR)
-SGO - SPORTING GOODS (SECTOR)
-MTA - MACHINE TOOLS & ACCSORIES (SECTOR)
-RGO - RECREATIONAL GOODS OTHER (SECTOR)
-PPER - PUBLISHING - PERIODICALS (SECTOR)
-OSUP - OFFICE SUPPLIES (SECTOR)
-AUDE - AUTO DEALERSHIPS (SECTOR)
-ELWH - ELECTRONICS WHOLESALE (SECTOR)
-REST - RESTAURANTS (SECTOR)
-CONQ - CONGLOMERATES (SECTOR)
-BSS - BUSINESS SOFTWARE & SVCS (SECTOR)
-SSS - SECURITY SOFTWARE & SVCS (SECTOR)
-IEW - INDUSTRIAL EQUIP WHOLESLE (SECTOR)
-DIEL - DIVERSIFIED ELECTRONICS (SECTOR)
-FWH - FOOD WHOLESALE (SECTOR)
-DICS - DIVERSIFIED COMMUN SVCS (SECTOR)
-PSER - PERSONAL SERVICES (SECTOR)
-LWP - LUMBER WOOD PRODUCTION (SECTOR)


The Bullish Sector picks

-AGC - AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS (SECTOR)

-FPRO - FARM PRODUCTS (SECTOR)

Thursday, January 10, 2008

????????

Sorry I haven't posted in like 2 days I'm trying to figure out the direction of the market.

Do you guys think I should go in next week fully invested?

I'm up about 30% if I can get 20% fully invested next week I would have 50%+ in one month (the first month!)

How bout a market neutral portfolio?


By the way feel free to ask any question no matter the length or the randomness I will usually respond within that day.

Rss Hugger Review

rssHugger.com
The deep RSS orange of the site coupled with a dark grey makes this site visually appealing. The cutsie factor aside, the logo does the site justice. The only thing that struck me as odd — no RSS icon anywhere on their main page. Not sure why the rssHugger site wouldn’t have an RSS icon, but I’ll leave that to the graphical gods to determine a punishment.

rssHugger Site Dump January 20th 2008
Above the fold, we can clearly read the intent of the blog. The site informs us we can either do a review of rssHugger or pay a $20 fee to have a page on their site for ten years. I would much rather do a review than pay $20. Times are tight. I need all the money I can get to stock up on gunpowder.

rssHugger intends to bring bloggers and readers closer together. Oh, I’ll just lay it out there from their site. Here’s their blurb:

rssHugger is a unique website that aims to bring bloggers and readers together. rssHugger aims to provide blog owners with a unique easy-to-use way to promote their blogs by sending them traffic, building backlinks for search engine optimization, as well as attracting new rss subscribers if the content is interesting to the reader. rssHugger aims to help visitors be able to easily find blogs that write about subjects they are interested in. These subjects include: internet marketing, making money online, charity, sports, gambling, and many more. If the visitors find a blog that they had not previously heard about, they can easily add it to their RSS readers or bookmark it.

So it apparently works like this: you submit your RSS feed to their site, they enter you into a category, and finally they list your most current blog titles under your feed name on their site. Sure this build backlinks for your site, but will this really benefit your site that much? They could at least use the MSN Safari thumbnail creator to pull in an image of your site.

The rssHugger site comes to you from the creators of wordHugger, a seemingly pointless buy a word for $60 page. The wordHugger site seems to offer you one word that you monopolize on their site (or phrase) like “make money online” or “memory foam“. The two sites seem to mirror each other, except rssHugger costs less and offers a free way to enter. Overall, I think both sites have more flash than bang.

Conclusion
I’ve asked non-bloggers what RSS feeds they read. The most common answer? What’s an RSS feed? The biggest hurdle for rssHugger seems to be attracting readers aside from bloggers. As soon as RSS feeds become like radio stations, then the internet will be jumping with sites like this. For now, it seems the site will be pandering to the same crowd, with a few perks. Not too much to get excited over just yet. In their defense, they may be adding more functionality in the coming months. We’ll have to stay tuned to find out.

http://www.rsshugger.com/images/logo.png

Wednesday, January 9, 2008

...

Alfred Edward Housman was a pre-eminent poet of his time, and his contemporaries regarded him as one of the best. His work combined the themes of time, death, adultery and war, and surrounded them in a melancholy tone. Housman’s life was littered with dilemmas and tribulations, and his best collection of literature was made during these predicaments. His writing’s still influence and inspire the lives of many till this day.
Housman was born in 1859 near Fockbury, Worcestershire, England.
Housman was the first-born of 7 children, all of which looked at Housman as their role model. Alfred’s father was a tax collector and his mother was a housewife. Alfred loved his father but not nearly enough as his mother. Alfred shared a close relationship with his mother up until her death. The death of his mother was the cause of great disquietude which lead to his depression, which stamps all of his works. Housman attended the acclaimed Bromsgrove School and despite the early contention in his life me maintained a healthy academic resume. Bromsgrove is where Housman discovered his consummate skill at writing poetry. Housman won several poetry awards while attending Bromsgrove. Housman gained acceptance into St. John’s college, Oxford. At Oxford Housman accelerated far above the other students in his graduating class, and was poised to graduate at the top of his class. While at Oxford Housman’s outcast status became apparent he was isolated from the other students, not willing to interact in any social activities. Housman only had 2 friends, his roommates Moses Jackson and A. W. Pollard. Housman also experienced sexual feeling for other males, especially his roommate Moses. Finally Housman confronted his roommate Moses Jackson and expressed his true feelings for him. Housman told Moses he had sexual feeling toward him, but Housman was quickly rejected when Moses told Housman he was heterosexual. This led Housman to fail his final exams, and leave Oxford with no degree. This was Housman’s first interaction with rejection and he didn’t respond too well. Mosses still remained Housman’s friend even with his homosexual feelings. Housman went and became a teacher for a short period of time, then gained the strength to obtain a degree from Oxford. Housman accomplished his goal and Moses offered Housman a job at a patient office and they still remained roommates. It was at the patient office that Housman grew found of the Latin language and spent extra time studying, and altering Latin works. His mastery of the language grew so expansive, he began correcting works and writing for Latin journals. The writing Housman submitted to these journals became so popular, that scholars became increasingly interested in Housman and finally offered him a professorship of Latin at University College London and he accepted the position. It was around this time when Moses married and moved to India, leaving Housman behind. Housman was in a somber mood, and grew into a depression which isolated him further from society. He was in this mood because he felt as if he would never experience love. This was the reason Housman started writing in his notebooks, in his notebooks Housman wrote poems which would compose the praised A Shropshire Lad, which was a collection of 63 poems that Housman wrote. The poems took the despairing tone that most of his futures works would also take, they were filled with the themes of young death, lost love, time and war. He grew inspiration for A shropshire Lad from William Shakespeare’s collection of songs and Heinrich Heine, a German Romantic poet, but surprisingly left a Latin influence out. Shropshire was a country that Housman had never visited while writing the collection of poems but thought it was the perfect image for the style of poems that composed A Shropshire Lad. The poems in A Shrophire Lad matched the themes presented in all of Housmans works. The theme of war was covered with “Far I hear the Bugle Blow” which was about the apprehension a soldier faces when called into battle. Housman addressed the apprehension rather bluntly as seen in 4th stanza lines 13-16 “Therefore, though the best is bad, Stand and do the best, my lad; Stand and fight and see your slain, And take the bullet in your brain.” The theme was also addressed with “The Street Sounds to The Soldiers Tread”, which was also the apprehension a solider faced before battle. The theme of time is presented with the poem “When I was One and Twenty”, which was about a recollection to a past memory, in which a man gave Housman the advice to never give your heart to someone. The poem “Bring in this time less grave to throw” also covered the theme of time. The keynote of lost love is the most apparent in A Shropshire Lad, and can be seen with the poem “This time of year a twelvemonth past”. Which encompassed the story of a man who is recalling what he was doing 12 month ago, which was enjoying the time with his love, who he lost to another man. The themes of youth and dying were covered with Housman’s most prominent poem “To An Athlete Dying Young”. Which was about the story of a young runner that died after winning the town race and breaking the record. Housman never found a publisher for the collection of poems, so he made the decision to publish them himself. His students and contemporaries were amazed at the quantity of poems. Although rather blunt Housman’s works were regarded highly by soldiers and were used as inspiration and a way to cope with the harsh reality of war. It was during the Second Boer War, which was a war the British Empire fought against the independent Boer republics when A Shropshire Lad gained great popularity. It was not only soldiers who were reading Housman’s publications but musicians and scholars were also studying his works. His poems were used as by many composers during his day. After publishing A Shropshire Lad Housman was offered the Kennedy Professorship of Latin at Trinity College, Cambridge and he gladly accepted the position. Housman was to remain here for the rest of his career. Housman still wrote poems but didn’t publish them until 1922 when he heard his long-time friend Moses Jackson was dying. He titled the collection “Last Poems”. The poems were titled “Last Poems”, because Housman felt that they would be the last poems he would live to publish, and they were. Housman died in 1936 and his brother Laurence later published the rest of his poems titled “More Poems”. Although Housmans life was filled with controversy it never inhibited Housman it only was used as inspiration and a reason to continue. Housman although dead is still regarded highly in today’s standards.

Monday, January 7, 2008

Ridiculous Trading Day! Week 2 udapte 1

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Today was a wild ride for my portfolio today. I basically had all shorts, the market finished up (AZO finished up over 1% and I still gained 20%) ,and I hit my goal in one day! I came home (2:45pm et) and opened up the trading desk and to my surprise 5 out of the 6 picks were all stopped out at the +20% mark (or so I thought some of them actually got filled in at lower percentages). But I saw an unbelievable trade when I opened my account summary, GPI was bought at 9:31 @ 1.48 and 2 minutes later at 9:33 was sold @ 2.25 for a 52% profit in to minutes (options are so powerful). I immediately sold off my losing position WMT, because at the time I thought I had enough to cover the 20% goal, but I came up 5 percentage points short. My portfolio total was up +15% in one day I love when that happens (believe or not it happens alot with my style of trading). Since I only traded about $6000 this week instead of the full $12,000 the portfolio dollar-wise is up to about $13,000 so a 30% gain this month. Most of my positions were exited before 11:00am . I know as a reader you'd like to see more picks so I wont rest I will come up with more picks.

AZO 20%
ASCA 15%
TUP 17%
WMT -30%
ADI 25%
GPI 52%
total %15

Look @ the trade times.
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I was very surprised at the fact that the market finished up after a day like friday, good sign for bulls.

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Sunday, January 6, 2008

Trades for Week 2

Overview:
With the Employment report showing unemployment rising higher than expected and job creation slowing, thoughts of recession are floating around. No important economic reports come out next week so fears of recession should be the "status quo" when traders think about the economy.

So with that report, I have selected Group 1 Automotive (GPI) (Auto Dealership) since consumers will think less of getting a new car (as seen with the auto sales report) and adding unnecessary touches to their vehicle Autozone Inc (AZO) (Auto Parts Store). Vacations will get thought about less, Ameristar Casino Inc (ASCA) (Resorts and Casinos) and less money at the store, Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT) (Discount Variety Stores).

I threw in Analog Devices Inc (ADI) (Semiconductor Broad-line) and Tupperware Brands Corporation (TUP) (Packaging and Containers).

I have 6 positions and I tried to keep each one around $1000, they all have sell stops that trigger when the position is up 20% in value. I tried to put in some credit spreads but when I analyzed them they weren't as profitable as outright buying puts. Sorry about having all the picks bearish but I couldn't find any stock that I would like to buy besides an ultrashort etf.

So my positions read:

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+4 AZO Jan 08 110 Put (AZOMB)
+15 ASCA Jan 08 25 Put (UWTME)
+13 WMT Jan 08 45 Put (WMTMI)
+13 TUP Jan 08 30 Put (TUPMF)
+8 GPI Jan 08 22.5 Put (GPIMX)

AZO

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ASCA
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ADI
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WMT


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TUP
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GPI
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