Week 9 update

SOLD -7 DBA 100 APR 08 41 CALL @2.92. I still have DBC with a profit of about 50%

Week 9 Update 2 DBC DBA up 60%

I great day for commodity etfs and the portfolio has recovered its overall losses and Is near all time highs.

I sold DBP DBE and SDS but held on the DBC and DBA

DBP was sold for a loss of a bout 3%

DBE was sold for a profit of about 16%

and SDS was sold for a loss of nearly 70% (oops)

DBA and DBC trades are still active and have a profit of about 60% each.

The total value of the portfolio is $18,100

Week 9 update 1 DBA up 80%

The commodity efts were on fire (except for dbb and dbp). They were a great pick on my part wheat hit all time highs and natural gas hit its highs of the. I sold off my dbb and March dba positions.


DBA was sold for a gain of 81%
DBB was sold for a loss of -15%

So my portfolio looks like this
DBA(April): 31% gain
DBC: 17% gain
DBE: 4% gain
DBP: -15% loss
SDS: -74% loss

Portfolio Net Liquidating Value: $17,103

Week 9 Trades Im actually bullish

Sorry for that long delay but it was an emergency but now Im back and ready to trade.
I'm extremely bullish on the commodity etfs so I decided to purchase calls on most of the powershares commodity etfs. I decided to exclude the stoplimit of +20% because Im going to let the winners run a little bit (maybe double up) So my portfolio consist of:

DBA (adding on to my position)-April 41 +7 $1500

DBC- April 36 +11 $1000

DBE- Jul 37 +5 $1500

DBP- Jul 35 +3 $1500

DBB- April +10 $1000

I still have the original DBA and SDS trades going on

Net Liquidating Value= $16,200
Available Funds= $5,858

Sector Analysis Week 9

Im bullish on most commodity etfs especially
DBE

Bearish on these industries
Business Software & Svcs
Semiconductor Specialized
Business Services
Drug Manufacturers
Diagnostic Substances
Personal Services
Drug Delivery
Consumer services
Gaming Activities
Business Equipment

Week 7 update 1

Week 7 update

SDS down -57%
DBA up 37%

Net Liquidating Value: $16,205

Week 9 trades coming soon

Taking A Break

Death in the family.

Week 7 Trades

This week I only have 2 Trades (But HB is still active) SDS and DBA.

I bought 4 of the SDS March 08 65 calls for about $1900 and I purchased 15 DBA March 08 40 Calls for around $2100. I have no stop losses on any of the 2 trades.

DBA




SDS

Sector Analysis Week 7
Red= Bearish
Green= Bullish


Commodity ETFs (DBO DBA DGL etc..)
Scientific Tech Instruments
Research Services
Internet Info Providers
Diagnostic Substances
Photographic Equip Supls
Computer Peripherals
Diversified Computers Sys
Hospitals
Specialized Health Svcs
Personal Products
Computer Based Systems
Technical Systems Software



Economic Reports:
Feb 12 2:00 PM Treasury Budget
Feb 13 8:30 AM Retail Sales
Feb 13 8:30 AM Retail Sales ex-auto
Feb 13 8:30 AM Retail Sales ex-auto
Feb 13 10:00 AM Business Inventories
Feb 13 10:30 AM Crude Inventories
Feb 14 8:30 AM Initial Claims 02/09
Feb 14 8:30 AM Trade Balance Dec
Feb 15 8:30 AM Export Prices ex-ag.
Feb 15 8:30 AM Import Prices ex-oil
Feb 15 8:30 AM NY Empire State Index
Feb 15 9:00 AM Net Foreign Purchases
Feb 15 9:15 AM Capacity Utilization
Feb 15 9:15 AM Industrial Production
Feb 15 9:15 AM Capacity Utilization
Feb 15 10:00 AM Mich Sentiment-Prel.

Week 6 update 2

Well the good news is that HB decided to decline in price, but the bad news is DBO also went down in price.

HB was up 17% on the day
DBO down 13.11% on the day

Week 6 update 1: Broke Even

Nothing spectacular this week

I only broke even with my trades, (I shouldn't have used brackets) I still got to open positions (losing ones) HB and DBO

a more in depth analysis tomorrow

Week 6 Trades: Fully Invested

This week I decided to speculate a little with more aggressive trades, after all I'm playing with the houses money I'm only supposed to up 12,000 at this point, but I'm up much more. All the picks Involve buying call and all are bullish except SDS.

Walter Industries Inc. (WLT): +7 Feb 45 Calls stops @ +20% & -20%
Reliant Energy Inc. (RRI): +18 Feb 22.5 Calls stops @ +20% & -20%
Waste Management, Inc. (WMI): +10 Feb 32.5 Calls stops @ +20% & -20%
Seaspan Corp. (SSW): +9 Feb 30 Calls stops @ +20% & -20%
Harsco Corp. (HSC): +10 Feb 55 Calls stops @ +20% & -20%
Carrizo Oil & Gas Inc. (CRZO): +6 Feb 50 Calls stops @ +20% & -20%
UltraShort S&P500 ProShares (SDS): +5 Feb 59 Calls (Downside Hedge) stop @ -20%

Order Statement







WLT



RRI



WMI



SSW



HSC



CRZO



SDS



Account Statement

I decided to do this weeks sector analysis a little bit differently so I chose to evaluate sectors in Standard Industry Code in hopes of getting even better sector predictions.

Sectoring by Standard Industry Codes: All are Bullish


SIC-12 Coal mining
----------SIC-1222 Bituminous Coal Underground Mining

SIC-44 Water transportation:
---------SIC-4412 Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight
---------SIC-4489 Water Transportation of Passengers, NEC Water Taxis Airboats

SIC-33 Primary metal industries:
---------SIC-3325 Steel Foundries, NEC
---------SIC-3357 Drawing and Insulating of Nonferrous Wire Aluminum Wire Drawin

SIC-29 Petroleum and coal products
---------SIC-2992 Lubricating Oils and Greases
---------SIC-2911 Petroleum Refining

SIC-13 Oil and gas extraction
---------SIC-1381 Drilling Oil and Gas Wells
---------SIC-1311 Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas

SIC-49 Electric, gas, and sanitary services
--------SIC-4924 Natural Gas Distribution
--------SIC-4911 Electric Services Hydroelectric Power Generation Electric Power
--------SIC-4953 Refuse Systems Materials Recovery Facilities Hazardous Waste Treatment
--------SIC-4923 Natural Gas Transmission and Distribution Distribution Transmission

Week 5 Update 3: Not Pretty

This trading week was the worst in Trading Addiction history, but I am still optimistic that these picks will meet their target goals. I got about 9K that is available to trade with so there will be WEEK 6 TRADES.

DBA: (Even) 0% (The trigger might have actually been activated, but I dont know)
DBO: -22.65%
HB: -57.81%
Total -26.72%

More patience is required.